Powered by Roundtable

What It Does: ASML is a Dutch semiconductor equipment manufacturer and the sole global supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines — the $200-million-plus systems required to print the most advanced chips on Earth. Every cutting-edge processor from TSMC, Samsung, and Intel runs through ASML’s technology. If you own a smartphone, a laptop, or a car built after 2020, ASML touched the silicon inside it. The company also supplies deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography systems and provides maintenance, upgrades, and software to its installed base of over 1,000 machines globally.

How the Stock Looks: ASML trades near $680 as of mid-April 2026, well off its 2024 highs above $1,000. The pullback reflects investor concern over China export restrictions, cyclical semiconductor inventory digestion, and slowing orders in the DUV segment. However, the EUV backlog remains robust, with high-NA EUV (the next-generation system) now shipping to lead customers. Revenue is expected to reaccelerate in the second half of 2026 as foundry capex cycles turn upward.

What Analysts Are Saying: Wall Street is overwhelmingly bullish. The consensus rating is Strong Buy across 35+ analysts, with an average price target of approximately $1,476. That implies over 100% upside from current levels. Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, and UBS have all reiterated buy-equivalent ratings, citing ASML’s monopoly position in EUV as an irreplaceable moat. The bear case centers on order timing and geopolitical risk — but even bears acknowledge there is no alternative supplier.